- At 15:05pm on 20th Mar 2011, ScottNYC wrote:
- 6. At 15:19pm on 20th Mar 2011, bryhers wrote: Motives are less important than consquences.The hope must be that Mr.Quaddifi`s regime crumbles quickly,but this is not guarunteed.He has strong support in Western Libya,adequate resources to buy soldiers and weapons.
Why does he fight when the tide of history is running against him? For the same reason he accepted responsibility for Lockerbie.The culture surrounding the president is tribal and nostalgic.He sleeps in a tent counts his wealth in goats and receives tribute like an Arab potentate.You either control your kingdom down to choosing spouses for your children or you`re nothing.In his terms he had no choice but to fight.
Will the military campaign succeed when previous bombing campaigns have had limited succeess? The first two weeks will be filled with stories of Libyan assets destroyed. Soon we will reach a stage where there are no targets left to bomb,what then if the battle continues on the ground?
Exit strategies are difficult if enemies refuse to go.Mission creep is the likely consequences,boots on the ground,first small numbers then more and then more..By that time the political landscape will have again changed,more players,more searching questions.
I wrote earlier that Mr.Quaddafi is surrogate for all those reactionary Arab regimes we support like Saudi Arabia.A story is now circulating that support of the Arab League was dependent on Obama lite in relation to the Gulf States.We are never likely to know,but if repression worsens across the Gulf,will the Arab Street be repeating this story?
الأربعاء، 23 مارس 2011
We should have never
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The British media coverage of this "crisis" so far has been laughable, as every story is about some poor Brit who's trapped and can't get home. Well boo hoo hoo for them. Maybe they should have picked another dictator to work for and prop up.
At the very least, we should seize BP property in Libya as payback since it was they, working hand in glove with the British government, who gave so much aid and succor to this thug over the years.